London, 09 May 2014
Moody’s Investors Service has today upgraded Portugal’s government bond rating to Ba2 from Ba3. In addition, the rating agency placed the Ba2 rating on review for possible further upgrade.
The rating action was triggered by the following key factors:
- Portugal’s fiscal situation has improved more rapidly than initially targeted and the public debt ratio will start declining this year, albeit from a very high level. The budget deficit was reduced a full percentage point of GDP more than envisaged last year, indicating the government’s strong commitment to fiscal consolidation.
- The country will conclude its three-year EU/IMF support programme in the near future, without the need for a precautionary credit line from the European Stability Mechanism (ESM). Portugal has regained access to the public debt markets and in addition the government has built up sizeable cash buffers.
- Portugal’s economic recovery is gaining momentum, with signs of broadening beyond exports, which continue to perform strongly. Moody’s believes that economic growth will be sustained over the medium-term because the Portuguese authorities have implemented a wide range of structural reforms.